@KTzone » 日常 - 新聞時事 » 美媒:印度將超越美國 成全球第二大經濟增長引擎


2019-10-22 05:48 宅~有何不可
美媒:印度將超越美國 成全球第二大經濟增長引擎

原標題:印度成全球第二大經濟增長引擎?
  據彭博社報道,受國際貿易關係緊張等因素影響,預計未來5年,全球許多經濟體的增長都將放緩。但是,未來5年,中國仍將是全球經濟增長的最大貢獻者,而印度將超越美國,成?第二大增長引擎。
  該研究根據國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)的預測,並根據購買力平價進行調整,列出瞭2024年全球經濟增長的前20大增長引擎。
[img]//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/351/w929h222/20191021/0aed-ihfpfwa3025048.png" alt="圖 via Bloomberg" data-mcesrc="//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/351/w929h222/20191021/0aed-ihfpfwa3025048.png" data-mceselected="1" data-link="[/img]圖 via Bloomberg
  Weaker global growth, expected to fall to 3% this year and the slowest since the global financial crisis, will affect 90% of the world, according to estimates released this week by the International Monetary Fund。
  國際貨幣基金組織本週公佈的世界經濟預測報告顯示,全球經濟增長放緩將影響全球90%的地區。預計今年全球經濟增速將降至3%,是全球金融危機以來的最低水平。
  ▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024(via The Economic Times)
  This is the result of multiple factors, including the US-China trade war, geopolitical tensions, as well as Brexit-related risks, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook released earlier this week。
  國際貨幣基金組織本週早些時候發佈的《世界經濟展望》顯示,這是多種因素共同作用的結果,包括中美貿易戰、地緣政治緊張局勢,以及與英國脫歐相關的風險。
  ▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024(via RT)
  不過,國際貨幣基金組織數據顯示,預計在短短5年內,印度對全球經濟增長的推動作用,將超過美國。
  India’s growth can outpace that of the US, Bloomberg reported, citing IMF estimates adjusted for purchasing power parity (ktzhk)。 In five years, the South Asian nation will account for 15.5 percent of global growth, jumping two percent from the current figures。 Meanwhile, the US contribution is set to fall by more than 3.5 percent from its current 13.8 percent, to 9.2 percent。
  彭博社援引國際貨幣基金組織按購買力平價(ktzhk)調整後的估計數據稱,印度的增長可能超過美國。5年後,這個南亞國傢將佔全球經濟增長的15.5%,比目前數據上升2%。與此同時,美國的貢獻將從目前的13.8%下降到9.2%,降幅超過3.5%。
  This week, the IMF cut India’s GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 6.1 percent, which is 1.2 percent lower than the body’s April projections。 Despite the gloomier prognosis, the country’s finance minister argued on Thursday that the Indian economy is “still growing as the fastest,” although it remains far behind China。
  本週,國際貨幣基金組織將印度2019年的GDP增長預期下調至6.1%,比該組織4月份的預期低瞭1.2%。儘管預期數據悲觀,但印度財政部長週四表示,印度經濟“仍是增長最快的”,儘管仍遠遠落後於中國。
  ▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024(via RT)
[img]//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/471/w813h458/20191021/7a7c-ihfpfwa3025070.jpg" alt="圖 via AFP" data-mcesrc="//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/471/w813h458/20191021/7a7c-ihfpfwa3025070.jpg" data-mceselected="1" data-link="[/img]圖 via AFP
  此外,報道也提到中國仍將是世界經濟增長無可爭辯的最大貢獻者。
  China is set to remain the indisputable leader despite its share is set to fall from 32.7 percent in 2019 to 28.3 percent in 2024。
  儘管中國對世界經濟增長的貢獻將從2019年的32.7%下降到2024年的28.3%,但它仍將是無可爭辯的最大貢獻者。
  ▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024(via RT)
  除此之外,印尼,俄羅斯、日本、英國對世界經濟增長也影響較大。
  Other changes in the top five include Russia pushing Japan off fifth place with its share of GDP growth expected to stay at its current level of two percent in 2024。 Indonesia will remain in fourth place。
  排名前五位的國傢有些變化,包括俄羅斯將把日本從第5位的位置擠下,到2024年,俄羅斯佔全球GDP增長的份額預計將保持在目前的2%。印尼仍將排在第4位。
  ▲India set to eclipse US with global economic growth share by 2024(via RT)
  The U.K。 will see its importance wane amid Brexit as its economy drops from ninth as a share of world growth in 2019, to 13th。
  隨著英國脫歐,其經濟在全球經濟增長中的比重將從2019年的第9位下降至第13位,英國的重要性將會減弱。
  Japan will fall to the ninth spot by 2024。 Brazil is projected to move up from No。 11 to No。 6。 Germany’s share of growth is expected to remain at 1.6% and 7th on the list。
  到2024年,日本將跌至第九位。巴西的排名預計將從第11位升至第6位。德國的增長比重預計將保持在1.6%,排在第7位。
  ▲These 20 countries will dominate global growth in 2024(via The Economic Times)
[img]//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/522/w299h223/20191021/9f56-ihfpfwa3025089.png" alt="圖 via Think Stock" data-mcesrc="//n.sinaimg.cn/sinacn20191021ac/522/w299h223/20191021/9f56-ihfpfwa3025089.png" data-mceselected="1" data-link="[/img]圖 via Think Stock

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